Friday, September 29, 2006

Arad Enigma

Now let's analysis the Aron Arad mystery.

Aron Arad was a pilot in IAF "Israeli Air Forces" from 20 years ago in 1986 when he flew over Lebanon,the south and his airfighter was crushed ,the crew flying with him were lucky to be rescued while his misfortune led him to be captured by Amal movements fighters

This is according to the Israeli Version of the Story

Of course you know Amal Movement , the Shiite mother movement of Hezbollah , Amal Resistance movement is headed now by Nabih Beri ,the chairman of Lebanese Parliament, a very respectable patriot man whom I respect and wish that the Egyptian Parliament would have some day a man like him .

There were claims by Israelis that there were negotiations between both parties to release Aron for exchange of P.O.Ws whom the Israeli regime likes to call them terrorists , they even are mentioning some meeting between Beri and officers from IDF in London ,of course secretly , well I don't know but I highly doubt it , Anyway the presumed neogation reached to a break of wall when Shamir ,the terrorist of Dir Yassin Massacre and King David terrorist act and late Israeli Prime Minister refused to make the exchange.

I do not buy this story so easily

For the following reasons,

  1. I don't recall that I heard this capture story from Amal sources whether ON NBN when it used to be aired on Nilesat or Al-Jazeera or our Newspapers , no one mentioned him except as a missing person.
  2. If Ron was captured , the Israelis would have tried to return him back in all possible way , already he is a pilot of Phantom jet ,one of the important air fighters , at that time many intelligence services would have tried to get him , in order to get the enough information.
  3. If Amal movement had the intention of exchange Ron with P.O.Ws ,I bet he would stayed till the exchange of 2002 , already many P.O.Ws ,the Lebanese ones who returned back most of them were captured in the 1980s and many of them of them are Amal members !! Think again Hezbollah and Amal as Muslims are generous and kind people when it comes to P.O.W not like the other side.
  4. If we believe this Amal Scenario , we can also put probability that he was transferred to either Syria or Iran for Intelligence information as I hinted to his importance , I will omit Syria and Choose Iran, in Syria he can be traced be Mossad and rescued very easily , despite the Myth of Syrian regime cruelty ,the reality proves that this cruelty is only practiced upon its own people , anyway El-Baath regime didn't return back El-Golan and is busy to suppress the opponents of Al-Assad dynasty , so we can go to the Persian Scenario
  5. The Persian scenario is the favorite to the Israeli government through all the times , because it serves different purposes, first to enforce the fact that Iran is an enemy of Israel that needed to be destroyed , of course Iran doesn't need Aron to enforce this truth ,it is naked truth that Iran got a mutual feeling of hatred towards Israel, second and this is most important, it is a good excuse to use to justify the failure of restoring Arad whether dead or alive , he is in Iran , in a secret Persian dungeon , how can we got him !! an excellent excuse which as I said good for publicity
  6. Ok The Iranis could have taken him but for a while , already I don't believe he could face torture to get information from at all , because a small needle of something peroxide "I don't recall the first name" could make reveal all his wildest deepest secrets of how he felt in his Matfheza party to his interrogator, but even the Iranis would n't host him all this long time , because also there is any kind of exchange ,Arad would be exchanged and here I am not talking about Lebanese P.O.W only ,I am talking about Spy exchange ,in intelligence wars between countries ,usually there are spy exchange
  7. The idea is that the Lebanese want their P.O.W back at any price ,and thus if Arad is in Iran or Lebanon now I believe Hezbollah wouldn't use his usual tactic at all , it would Arad , the rich boy who is price is 10 million dollars for Samir Kantar and other follows in the Israeli prisons
  8. If Arad is dead and this is possibly ,still his body is important and could be exchanged with P.O.W , as the Jewish inheritance laws implies the existence of the complete body of the dead person ,already in 2002 exchange Lebanese returned couple of Israeli dead bodies
  9. Here is the craziest ever scenario ,the impossible one , and as Dr.Nabil Farouk said "The impossible idea is the successful in the intellgence world" I will presume that Arad converted to Islam already all the pictures of him that Israelis say that they were taken after the capture he had this beard , He converted to Islam and he lives in South Lebanon ,with new name Ahmed for example and married a Southern girl and propably got 5 children, he refuses to go back or even inform his family and his people with his daring decision, and this is the only explanation ,possible one for his disappearance ,ok I know I went not Miles far with my imagination but as I guess we must think outside the box and South Lebanon is a very beautiful country side with very nice kind people

Look I understand the feelings of Arad's family because we got the same families in Egypt who are ready to sell all what they got to get their beloved back from the sands of Sinai 1967 ,unfortunately our enemy then wasn't merciful like the Shiite gangs in South Lebanon.

And we in Egypt got our own experience , from couple of years the remainings bodies of the Israeli pilots who fought in 1973 were found near El-Ismailia.

The engima now is that Amal says it has nobody in her custody

And of course Hezbollah didn't capture him in the first place

All people are denying , theories coming from here and there and rewards with assurasnce of protections and ads all around the world are published for the sake of Arad

Which makes the one wonder why Arad is so special ,well i understand that the individual in Israel is precious then in our Arabic countries ,but it doesn't make sense , he is not more important than those until now are considered missing from the IAF and IDF in 1973 war ,Why until now the search is continued and why he suddenly disappeared and where he disappeared ??

Was he a mossad officer ? no he wasn't , he was a pilot and what ever information he possessed ,this information would be obslete by time and thus he would be a burden , may be he could be captured in Iran as a future exchange in any Hebrew-Persian intelligence war or real combact war .

One thing I know for sure ,He is not in Egypt , after all Azam Azam returned back as a hero ,this bloody spy so propably if Arad was here ,he would be in home watching the television right now ,also he can't be in Egypt because Amal doesn't trust us and Bari hates Mubarak

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